Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 4.382681 4.909023 5.482014 6.153488 6.920532 7.771413 8.789511
2025-02-09 3.659460 4.369917 5.201923 6.253644 7.555256 9.123065 11.169202
2025-02-16 3.192444 3.997407 4.992932 6.325909 8.080964 10.336404 13.492433
2025-02-23 2.858625 3.718344 4.829497 6.389103 8.550811 11.484522 15.841921
2025-03-02 2.518766 3.378861 4.531108 6.212366 8.644488 12.100269 17.501258
2025-03-09 2.279482 3.142300 4.335595 6.138318 8.848969 12.865551 19.445845
2025-03-16 2.078297 2.934982 4.153860 6.053577 9.011854 13.566735 21.361101
2025-03-23 1.995855 2.887649 4.193223 6.293521 9.683466 15.113878 24.838916
2025-03-30 1.860877 2.748455 4.079949 6.281144 9.946144 16.024304 27.356348
2025-04-06 1.732510 2.607303 3.949163 6.223746 10.121440 16.797849 29.725836
2025-04-13 1.556457 2.377748 3.660234 5.878524 9.769503 16.612749 30.283940
2025-04-20 1.475849 2.293177 3.595585 5.900823 10.054014 17.584582 33.185743
2025-04-27 1.431005 2.265094 3.624045 6.091236 10.670260 19.260955 37.803946
2025-05-04 1.373957 2.212422 3.606950 6.199518 11.147580 20.735523 42.260114
2025-05-11 1.315874 2.153249 3.573219 6.272996 11.564549 22.140773 46.804125
2025-05-18 1.261111 2.095403 3.536505 6.335985 11.965377 23.560292 51.624990
2025-05-25 1.175180 1.976842 3.382417 6.161001 11.866622 23.912795 53.984208
2025-06-01 1.111500 1.893450 3.285618 6.087667 11.967549 24.705399 57.550617
2025-06-08 1.051570 1.812850 3.188037 6.003727 12.036042 25.431930 61.076609
2025-06-15 1.038102 1.816274 3.247550 6.241410 12.824532 27.908278 69.683580
2025-06-22 0.994103 1.759863 3.188713 6.229150 13.056358 29.101493 75.019430
2025-06-29 0.947965 1.696515 3.111977 6.172294 13.180069 30.046980 79.837372
2025-07-06 0.872678 1.573174 2.909648 5.830316 12.607340 29.184805 79.167913